No football today. 3 out of last 4 Dutch and Win have won so they have been in great form and the cold October spell has passed so just emphasises the benefit of long term thinking and betting. I will be setting up the interest page for the football system I am giving away next week (which made another £200 yesterday) with a view to giving you the system in about 10 days. I will also do a full review next week of many systems for you to catch up on.
No games today not keen on Carling Cup betting and the usual suspects are too short to get involved. I am often asked what I mean by betting the value when I have mentioned it and I have had a few emails regarding fixed odds football betting recently. I will try and give a good example here. Last round of Champions League Matches Barcelona played Russian Champions Rubin. Barcelona were 1.16 on Betfair before kick off and Rubin were matched at odds of 49 but generally available most of the day at around 20-25. Irrespective of what the you thought the score would be or who would win a bet on Barcelona was not value. Here is how I looked at it. Rubin are a side that if they played in the Spanish League would be good enough to finish in the top 8 probably season after season. If Barcelona played one of the top 8 in the Spanish league at home what price would they be, probably a best priced 1.2-1.3. Therefore backing Barcelona at 1.14-1.16 is backing under the value, I would have wanted to back them at 1.4 which would never be available as the bookmakers hardly ever offer over the odds especially on the top teams. If you continually do this long term you will lose and it is exactly how the bookmakers make their money by forcing you to back under value. The bet would have been a bet on Rubin or a lay of Barcelona, Rubin were overpriced as a result of Barcelona being short , as it happens won the game. Now of course thse results are few and far between but the point is if you bet the value every time you will make money, if you bet under the value you will never make money. That is why I am against systems such as Compiler Systems/Football Betting Tips and Football Maestro (despite claims of devastating insider bookmaker knowledge). They offer up bets which are not value but just trying to find certain winners. As we know there is no such thing as a certainty and one loser takes a lot of recovery. The key to fixed odds betting is to sniff out the prices where the bookmaker may have got it wrong and invariably this will be in lower league football as everyone thinks the big sides will win so that is where all the betting money goes.
We moved into the last 8 of the Carling Cup very comfortably it seems and a step closer to a third consecutive Wembley Final, thought some big teams left and I think it is being taken a bit more serious this year by some of the bigger teams
so won’t get ahead of the game just yet. Apparently Talksports Mike Parry may be worth listening to at about 10am as he was there and was getting some stick as an Everton fan to the point he git his belly out at one stage to shouts of “Who ate all the pies” and Robbie Keanes penalty I am told was one of the worst ever. A win is a win!
Shows how bad things are did not even realise Spurs were home tonight against Everton in the cup they will have to do without me again, could be a few goals in the game though as neither team has a defence fit.
I did a bit of research whilst lying here yesterday on last weeks Betting Against the Odds that was launched, what an absolute pile of s***e. Basically you go to a site look at the betting figures and the percentage they are awarded and any game where this percentage adds up to over 100% you bet against the favourite by backing the draw and away team to level stakes.
Yesterday one game came out and that game the favourite won 5-1 in the Italian 3rd tier football. So no form to go on nothing just a complete guess up. When I am better the war on this rubbish will
be intensified. I urge you to write to refunds@clickbank.com and demand a refund if you bought it it will lose you money
over the year.
This is thrown up by IMGOD again who I mentioned in a past post (Backing All Star September 4th), when visiting these sales pages if you hold your mouse over the Buy Now button without clicking it you will see a web address appear in the bottom left hand corner of your browser, my suggestion is if it has the words IMGOD in it that you close the page immediately, this is pure rip off stuff. They mail thousands of people and only need 1 or 2% to buy to make thousands. (100 buyers @£29 = £2900)
Also beware these sites offering you the option to post reviews yourself these are run by the same people they can add their own false good reviews and edit and not post negative reviews making the system look rosier than it is. Most review sites and forums will give you an inaccurate idea of what it is like, review sites can be manipulated to suit the site owner for his affiliate commission. Forums will generally (and I make no apologies to forum users reading this) be filled with negative posts and again posts promoting systems can be accessed by the system sellers who post positive comments, this is something actively taught in Internet Marketing to use forums as sales leads.
I will be intensifying my war against these people over the coming months and have lots to share with you, not sure it makes a huge difference but if i save someone £100 quid it is worth it.
Yet another system 3 winner and still 100% for the season can he go the whole way (sshhhhh don’t even mention it). Should have made tidy profit on all 3 FTS games. Football For Income another winner so corner turned hopefully last couple of weeks been profitable. JG a couple of NFL losers but no worries as he always hits the mark and nothing put up by Dutch and Win yesterday so all quiet. No blog until Wednesday/Thursday now and then I will be into system test results. I will also go through emails and Elite/Mentor stuff on Thurs/Fri to get up to speed for the weekend.
2 nice winners for D& W yesterday, Profit for Football For Income, bad days for FTS and cashbuilder and 100% still for the season on System 3. Nothing else to report regarding systems I will take a look at a few this week and get some reports out for you all to read. I did have an X-Factor bet yesterday which has bagged, me an almost guaranteed £250 never thought I would have a bet on that nonsense but when people are giving money away you can’t help yourself, just wish the bookies were as generous. Football mails have been sent.
B*****ks! Enough Said!!
Another mail doing the rounds with a nice misleading subject title, this time Betting Against The Odds and all the usuals mailing out, please don’t rush out and give them more money. Just so that you are aware how easy it is to rip you off take a look at this site and then spread the word, how sad this is
http://www.juicestorm.com/betfairgen/
I will post a full write up next week on this “miracle” system. I hear William Hills, Ladbrokes and Corals have all shut down now there football betting flaw has been found!! Would you sell a bookmakers flaw for £29???
All quiet at the Lane today with my absence but should be a victory. Football emails have been sent this morning to all so should be no problems there and hopefully a good day in store. I think we could see the first premiership managerial departure this week just a hunch, usually about this time chairmen get twitchy.
A couple of great emails from long standing subscribers yesterday, both of whom have got the skill of understanding what gambling and making money is all about. I will post a couple of quotes from the mails
” I have managed to turn my bank round by following your excellent advice through good and bad times and I have been trialling some of my own systems over the last few months of course they go through sticky times but with a lot of money management and determination a profit can be made over the long term, some people obviously don’t get it! and never will:-)”
This quote highlights that this subscriber has developed a discipline to understand that many ways to bet can be made to make profit by exercising as he says good money management and determination. Money management is something I will cover in future posts.
The second quote came from a mentor member who has been with me for a long long time and is someone who I have a lot of respect for
“it is through the hard times you learn about yourself and your abilities not the easy rides”
This mail was in relation to a tough time he has had but that he understands now the ups and downs of gambling and how to react when you don’t win all the time. I have said many many times if you always quit and change systems when you lose for a week or 10 days you will always be a loser but with good money management, discipline, management of emotions, long term thinking and planning and research making money at gambling is not tremendously difficult it is purely how you react to each and every situation that determines winners from losers. Both these guys will always make money from their gambling because their mindset is right with relation to both how they bet in the first place and what systems they use and how they understand that losing is just an everyday part of the job that will always be there. One final thought if you believe these statements “I always lose, I am a jinx, thats the way I am , that is just how my luck goes, I was born a loser” the likelihood is you are correct but the only person who can change it is you, not me, not a stupid ebook, not a horse, football team, roulette wheel, fruit machine, dice pack of cards, nothing but yourself. As they say in the football stands “you only sing when your winning” but in gambling “we moan like hell when were losing”. Don’t moan – CHANGE.
A decent night for the football last night and 100% still for the season on System 3. A few mumblings about yesterdays post and I can see troops rallying for war so watch this space, I am not one to back down and this internet game is filthy to the point of disgusting. One from one for Dutch and Win so a good week there despite all the negative mail about a couple of weeks results, if only people could see past a short space of results but I hope to have a full write up on here next week which will detail over £1200 profit from D&W using the manual method as advised by D&W since July and considerably more than that using my method since I started so I for one will be pushing on and guarantee good 5 figure annual profits which will get posted on here.
My new system which I am giving free to my mentor group and 84 people made further profit last night and is up £700 less commission this week to £100 stakes so I am quite excited about the prospect of that one, so much so that as it is quite easy to operate, the wife is going to give up her gardening job, make sure I stay on the straight and narrow and operate this new system for herself. Hopefully having her around 24/7 will not cause too many rows!!!
Football emails etc will be sent first thing tomorrow.
