FTS Betslip Mindset Series Episode 14 – Emotions & Variance

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FTS Betslip Mindset Series Episode 14 – Emotions & Variance

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24/11/2023

In the world of betting and trading, understanding the concept of variance and its impact on our decisions is crucial for achieving success. While theoretical models and calculations provide a framework for our strategies, the reality of dealing with variance can often diverge significantly from these theories. In this article, we will explore the concept of variance, discuss real-life examples of how individuals have navigated variance, and provide insights into developing the emotional intelligence needed to thrive in the betting and trading world.

The theoretical understanding of variance in betting and trading differs from the practical reality. While theoretical models can guide us in building strategies and managing risk, the experience of encountering variance can present unique challenges. As such, it is essential to recognise that the reality of betting and trading often involves emotional intelligence and adaptability rather than purely theoretical knowledge.

Real-life examples vividly illustrate the impact of variance on betting and trading strategies. The experiences shared in this blog highlight how individuals have been affected by variance, leading to changes in their approach and decision-making.

Example 1– A successful member of FTS who trades roughly 12-13 hours a day experienced a good pace until he faced a losing streak of 20-30 points over a weekend. Distraught, he reached out and described it as a catastrophe, indicating that he needed to reassess his strategy. We explained that such instances were normal and advised him on handling such downturns, both financially and emotionally. After our discussion, he put a stop-loss limit of 2 points into operation and arranged a 2-point swing in either direction for potential gains. Using this method, he managed to earn about 10-12 points. Yet, after reflection, he discovered he could have gained 30 points had he adhered to his initial plan, prompting him to revert. As I always maintain, constant alterations are not advisable; it’s crucial to stick to one plan and be prepared for fluctuations as they will inevitably occur.

Example 2 – A member has an O1.5 goals method he dropped 2 points on a Saturday.  He then came to Sunday he was in a match with 0-0. A goal was scored, allowing him to exit with a slight loss (deviating from his plan). He absorbed the loss, but then another goal was scored, which could have led to a complete victory. Did he panic? Yes, he did. Firstly, he needs to cope with a 3–4-point loss over the weekend—it is inevitable. Once again, he failed to adhere to his process and allowed his emotions to overpower him.

These examples underscore the importance of emotional resilience and self-awareness in navigating the ups and downs of betting and trading and the need to align strategies with personal preferences and risk tolerance.

One of the key takeaways from these real-life scenarios is the significance of emotional intelligence in managing variance. While theoretical knowledge provides a foundation, the ability to remain resilient and adaptable in the face of unexpected outcomes ultimately determines success in betting and trading. This emotional intelligence includes understanding one’s reactions to losses, maintaining composure during challenging periods, and making decisions based on self-awareness rather than external influences.

Developing emotional intelligence in betting and trading involves a process of self-discovery and continuous learning. It requires individuals to assess their reactions, adapt their strategies, and cultivate a mindset that enables them to navigate the complexities of variance. By recognising their triggers, understanding their behavioural patterns, and embracing a proactive approach to decision-making, individuals can build the emotional resilience needed to thrive in the dynamic world of betting and trading.

In conclusion, the interplay between theory and reality in betting and trading underscores the importance of emotional intelligence in navigating variance. While theoretical knowledge provides a framework for strategies, the ability to adapt, remain resilient, and make decisions based on self-awareness ultimately determines success. By embracing emotional intelligence, individuals can build the mindset needed to thrive in the face of variance, paving the way for sustainable and resilient betting and trading practices.

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