I spoke too soon and took a pasting yesterday and it just shows that any method where you have to choose the bets from a selection of possibles will doom most of us to failure as the law of sod takes over. To pick only the winning bets is quite frankly impossible and I omitted Curvy and Space Age which of course won and the ones I went with lost. A day that would have been so different had I gone the other way and I know many of you have experienced that sort of day with many services where you have to make a choice rather than having a set list of bets.
An interesting lesson in mindset again today yesterday after winning on Tuesday I had 18 emails by 11.30 asking when I was posting bets. Today after a pasting yesterday, ZERO emails. I am obviously confined to the dustbin and they have moved on to a different source for today. I don’t mind. EDIT One request on Twitter from my new best friend @RUSTYBLACKHEART
So into Day 4 having wiped out the profits a tough day ahead as many favourites fancied and that is not my game
2.30 Been good money for Illuminate in the ante post market and into 4’s for today so no value in that anymore. I have had loads of mentions so at the prices JERSEY BREEZE is one of small interest and FRENCH at a huge price features from a couple of sources.
JERSEY BREEZE £20 EW (1/4 Odds 3 Places) -£40
FRENCH 100/1 £15 EW -£30
3.05 I have had strong words for the top 2 in the market BALIOS and STRAVAGANTE so I am having a small play both of them win only.
BALIOS £48 Win 9/2 +£216
STRAVAGANTE £66 3/1 -£66
3.40 Hootenanny is being touted as if it cannot be beat. I am sure some of it is Moore loyalty money after the week he has had. Not for me surprise, surprise. I have had good word for 2 in this race so will back both in the hope Hoot turns out to be right nanny and I hit the forecast. I should man up and back them win only but as I have been so unlucky this week I will hope to nick a couple of places if something freak happens and one of them does not win.
ADAAY 10/1 £25 EW (1/4 odds, 4 places) -£50
TIGGY WIGGY 8/1 £25 EW -£50
4.20 I am taking on the favourite again. Everyone is raving about Found but they were for Ivawood and Pleasach also earlier on the week so not for me. Need to find the one to beat it though and I have, LUCIDA wins and SPERRY finishes second a nose. There you go that is a prediction.
LUCIDA £40 Win 4/1 -£40
SPERRY £20 EW 16/1 (1/4 Odds, 3 Places) -£40
5.00 Time for some prices and when of these wins I will join the “I told you so brigade”. I will be once again taking advantage of Mr Powers extra place offer and relieving him of some hard earned around 5.10PM
CONTINUUM £20 EW 33/1 (1/4 Odds, 5 Places with Paddy) -£40
LIBRAN £20 EW 22/1 (same terms) +£90
FAMOUS KID £20 EW 28/1 (same terms) -£40
5.35 By now I will be pushing wheelbarrows of cash around and the only thing left is to add the cherry on the cake. Favourite Aloft – Not a chance, get into the double figures man. (in case you have not worked it out every time you back Aloft at 3/1 and it loses you need 2 winners in the next 3 races to make profit, my way – I have loads of races I can blank)
FUTURE EMPIRE £20 EW 16/1 (1/4 odds,3 places) +£60
GREAT GLEN £25 EW 8/1 -£50
Follow at your peril, results will be updated Saturday.
Day Total -£80